The Moral Terrain of Mortgage Lending

General ethics applies to everyone in all spheres of life; in contrast, professional ethics is usually memorialized by written code and is intended to apply only to those individuals who have been identified as professionals in their field.  For example, in the legal industry, both lawyers and paralegals are considered professionals and must abide by certain written ethical codes, while legal secretaries and law clerks are not considered professionals and are not held to the same professional standards (although certainly the employers they work for can require it).  In the healthcare industry physicians owe specific moral duties that are captured by various ethical codes; in contrast, orderlies and certain other lower level functionaries are not considered professionals and do not have to abide by these codes of ethics, although they follow directives that are patterned after the applicable codes.

The essence of professional status requires one to take a licensing exam which tests substantive knowledge and codified standards of practice. Currently, the mortgage origination industry is in a state of transformation because, although loan originators working under a mortgage broker and non-depository lender must pass licensing exams, loan originators who work for depository banks are not required to do so.  A brief historical review of standards of practice indicates that the designation of mortgage originator is moving towards a clearly identifiable status as a profession.  We in the industry can now move mortgage originators clearly into professional status by implementing competency exams for all LOs and disciplinary procedures, once a code of ethics with sanctions is formally put into place. Until then, we revert to using general ethics in the workplace.

General ethics attempts to provide a rational framework for answering the paramount moral question “What ought I do?”  We all struggle with this question every day in all contexts, and we attempt to find answers through emotion, intuition, authority figures, religion, and hopefully, reason.  In answering these questions, we attempt to construct common and objective frameworks of values in order to solve these problems in a consistent fashion.  This gives our lives coherence and unity as we strive toward ethical ideals.  In contrast, the problems of professional ethics in a business setting, emerges from highly unique structural domains and thereby carry with them modified sets of values.  For example, in the criminal justice system there are specific players that play specific roles in that structure and the overlying value for lawyers is to protect the constitutional rights of clients. In the healthcare industry physicians have duties of informed consent to patients, and while doing no harm to the patient, they must also respect patients’ rights to self-determination.

We infer that anyone who is officially designated as a professional also has fiduciary duties toward his client.  Fiduciary duties arise in any circumstance where one person has greater authority, power, or knowledge than their client. This carries with it the duties to act in the highest good faith and to never put one’s own interests above the interests of any client with regard to the subject matter of their contractual arrangement.  Being designated as a professional carries correlative burdens and benefits.  One benefit is that a professional has greater industry prestige and greater earning power. A corresponding burden of this fiduciary duty is that there is a greater responsibility to protect the interest of clients.

At this point in time, we cannot assume a mortgage originator is a) a professional (which triggers a different set of ethical considerations than general ethics and b) is a fiduciary and as such owes duties of the highest good faith to his client.  Furthermore, this would imply that the mortgage originator also has the affirmative duty to ensure his subordinates are also protecting those fiduciary duties.  In some states, laws have been passed that designate a mortgage brokers and the loan originators licensed under the broker to owe fiduciary duties to their clients but this is not the case in all 50 states for all loan originators no matter where they work. Instead we would classify loan originators as an emerging profession.

It is not clear that an individual not officially designated as a professional owes fiduciary duties to clients, though many courts have held loan originators to a fiduciary standard during the last decade as borrowers attempted to balance the scales of justice after becoming victims of predatory lenders.  (See “Mortgage Brokers-What Fiduciary Duties Exist? By Andrea Lee Negroni, Mortgage Banking Magazine Oct 1, 2007.) Typically non-professionals deal at arm’s length with their clients. In this case, consumers do not expect that their mortgage loan originator is not self-interested in their dealings, which necessitates the need for broker shopping in order to get the best deal, yet many borrowers did believe the loan originator was working on behalf of the borrower when no such duty existed.

If a mortgage originator does not have professional status that results from national competency examinations and being held to a code of ethics with sanctions, then there is no good reason for a consumer to expect any kind of special duties above and beyond those prescribed by law.  The expectation again is that both parties are operating at arm’s length and the consumer must be held accountable for his choice in mortgage originators.  In situations where the mortgage originator does not have official professional status, the operative rule continues to be “caveat emptor.” In contrast, in situations where the mortgage originator has official professional status, the operative rule shifts to “caveat venditor.”

Frequently, all professionals face conflicts between professional obligations and their own personal senses of morality.  For example, a pharmacist may have to respect his clients wish to purchase a Plan B Emergency Contraception even though he is personally opposed on moral grounds.  While we do not intend to provide any definite answers to these sorts of conflicts that occur, we can offer some account of some of the moral considerations that go into thinking through these sorts of conflicts.

There are two ways that professionals can approach ethical problems.  One is called holism and the other is called separatism.  Holism is an approach that implies that one has an absolute set of standards that applies to all contexts and domains of one’s life.  In contrast, separatism means that a moral agent separates and isolates the moral domains of his life.  He does not have one single set of moral standards that applies in all contexts.  He may have a different set of standards for strangers, a different set of standards for home, and an even different set for work, especially because there may be a written code of ethics at work to which he must abide.

For example, many states have consumer protection statues within their mortgage loan originator licensing laws requiring a duty of honesty to all parties.  By becoming a loan originator that person agrees to abide by that absolute rule.  In comparison, that very same person, in his personal life, may have adopted a rule concerning telling the truth that allows occasional deviations if the consequences so warrant.  This person then is adopting the strategy of separatism because he is rigidly separating moral domains of his life with different moral rules.  Another individual, however, could follow the approach of holism by maintaining an absolute rule of lying in all contexts of his life if it is in his best interest to do so.  If one’s professional, ethical standards are vague and ambiguous, it is difficult, if not impossible to be a separatist.  This is so because there is no clear rational way to separate one’s professional moral obligations from one’s general moral obligations.  This, then, throws one into a holist approach, which leads to subjectivism and thereby risks an “anything goes” policy.  Moral chaos ensues.

Due to what we believe was a deficient motivational structure, rampant violations and the resulting public outcry, mortgage originators are now facing severe externally-imposed federal regulations which are quickly worsening the situation of a typical mortgage originator and business owner.

The National Association of Mortgage Broker Code of Ethics, while it mandates that members shall conduct business in a manner reflecting honesty, does not go far enough in clarifying what honesty means.  This allows a wide number of interpretations of honesty and unfortunately, because there is no precise definition of honesty there is no objective standard to which members can be held.  This is the very problem in this industry. Because code provisions are expressed with great ambiguity they are susceptible to moral subjectivism, which means that ultimately just about anything goes and the “anything goes” policy has caused huge amounts of political and legal machinery to gear up to create external regulations of our industry.  Laws come with far more serious sanctions than we would mandate through continuing education, disciplinary proceedings with retraining, and so forth, which we believe will be less efficient and will decrease industry profits.  The mortgage lending industry has a choice: We can either proactively, internally regulate ourselves with the attempt to educate, train, and improve the moral fiber of mortgage originators, or else we will risk constant and even greater external regulation by various legal bodies.

We believe the best way to elevate the moral fiber of any industry is to develop and provide an ethical structure of motivation for our industry that is not dependent on external rewards or punishments but instead helps loan originators develop a system of internal rewards based on ethical virtue, duty, and consequences.

NAMF is writing such a code. Contact Jillayne Schlicke for more information: 206-931-2241

Portions of the above article were originally published in Mortgage Originator Magazine in 2001 and authored by Kevin Boileau, Ph.D., and Jillayne Schlicke, M.A.

How to Think About Ethics

What do you remember from your last Ethics class?

When I ask this question, the room falls silent.  Then maybe a lone person might shout, “honesty.”  Someone else might say “The Golden Rule.”  It’s easier to talk about ethics in smaller groups rather than one large group so when the classroom is divided up into smaller working groups and I charge students to come up with a list of 10 things they learned, or to come up with a list of 10 character traits they admire in people (like honesty, courage, etc.) the task is easier because we have each other to talk with.

The SAFE Act now requires licensed LOs to take an ethics class every single year.  Along with that, course providers like NAMF have to insert additional topic categories inside our ethics class: Consumer protection, fraud, and fair housing.  So you’ll be taking an ethics class….every….single…year.  It might seem irritating that the government is mandating this every year but if you think about it, ethical dilemmas change from year to year and course providers are charged with making sure our courses are current each year.

But the mortgage lending industry doesn’t have a required, mandatory code of ethics which all members must subscribe to.  The codes that do exist are pretty lame and are only voluntary.

So we should ask the NMLS, if we are suppose to think about ethics, whose ethics are we suppose to be learning?  Without direction from NMLS, it would be pretty presumptive to assume that we’re suppose to teach/learn the NAMB, NAMPW, NAMF, MBAA codes of ethics. 

So where does an industry begin to learn how to use ethics to solve their professional ethical dilemmas? For example, if we were to sit down and write a brand new code of ethics for the industry (don’t worry, there’s not enough time to do that for the purpose of this article) we would have to start somewhere and here’s where it is: We’d look to normative moral theory.  (Read a very brief paragraph on descriptive, normative, and analytical ethics here.)  Normative moral theory can be applied to any profession such as law, medicine, and even the emerging profession of mortgage loan origination. If we were to sit down and write a code, we would create that code from elements of Aristotle’s virtue ethics, Kant’s duty-based ethics, and J.S.Mill’s Utilitarianism and apply these theories to ethical dilemmas faced by loan originators.

Someday the industry will be ready for mandatory, prescriptive code. If you’d like to take a look at an industry that’s created a prescriptive code, we can look at the Realtor Code of Ethics.  Make all the Realtor jokes you want to; their code has been around for over 100 years.  To me, this means the Realtor association is 100 years ahead of mortgage lending in terms of promoting the moral development of their profession. 

Ethical subjectivism is one of the many reasons that lead to the subprime meltdown. The industry is still in need of an objective, prescriptive code.  An argument against that position is that as long as we follow state and federal law, we don’t really need anything else to guide us.  That may be true, but then that person is arguing to keep himself/herself about as morally developed as a teenager. 

Assignment:
Consider an ethical dilemma you’ve faced during your time originating loans. If you are a new or newer LO, think about an ethical dilemma you’ve faced in another job position.

Q: What was the dilemma?
Q: How did you solve it?
Q: Do you identify more with Aristotle’s ideas, Kant’s duty-based ethics, or J.S. Mill’s Utilitarianism?  Or maybe your ethical style is a combination of each.

Remember, it’s okay to use intuition, emotion, and religion to start your thinking process but we can’t stop there. For example, our intuitions might be wrong. Emotions (example of fear-based thinking “if I can’t sleep at night I know it’s unethical) are a pretty self-serving way of solving problems, and there are literally thousands of different religions in the world so although it’s fine to reach back and think about the ideals you learn from your religion, once you become a professional, your code of ethics becomes your bible.  Since our industry doesn’t have that mandatory code of ethics just yet, we definitely CAN use normative moral theory to get us started. 

Fee Splitting

I recently wrote about a common question I often receive in which an unlicensed LO asks a licensed LO to act as the originator on a transaction, and pass part of the origination fee back to the unlicensed LO.  Read the story here.

What are the possible consequences for the licensed LO, the unlicensed LO, the consumer, the mortgage broker, and the lender? 

If you were the consumer on a transaction like this, would you want to know about this sort of fee-splitting arrangement? How much would you say would be a reasonable amount to pay the unlicensed LO and the licensed LO…if YOU were the consumer? 

Solutions to the Mortgage Lending Crisis

The mortgage industry crisis is a gift.  Mortgage lending can emerge from this mess and transform itself. I have been co-writing about predatory lending and the ambiguous professional status of retail mortgage salespeople for over 7 years. The industry has traded consumer respect for massive profits.  It does not matter where you work: banker, broker, credit union, consumer finance company. It does not matter what you call yourselves: Loan officer, loan originator, loan consultant, mortgage planner.  The average consumer does not understand the differences. 

Solution number 1
All retail mortgage salespeople, no matter where they work: bank, broker, credit union, consumer finance company, should owe fiduciary duties to consumers, just like a doctor or a lawyer does.  The process of purchasing or refinancing a home has become more and more complex over the past 20 years. This major financial decision is no less important than a medical procedure or legal matter.

Solution number 2
Let’s stop dancing around the ambiguous behavior we call “predatory lending” and define it.  We use to call such actions “fraud.” There are now 24 states that have passed anti-predatory lending legislation.  This means multi-state brokers must deal with a patchwork of state regulations.  A federal solution is in order, but we must also make sure that funds are set aside to regulate any new federal law. An un-regulated federal law is useless.

Solution number 3
If the industry does not like paying higher costs associated with more state and federal regulations, the industry has another choice: Self-regulation.  Any industry is far better of self-regulating rather than letting the government regulate for you.  The last time the mortgage industry had to swallow government forced regulation, we ended up with RESPA and the Truth-in-Lending Act. Oh, yes, these are such fine pieces of federal legislation and so easy to understand that the industry joyfully and voluntarily steps up to the plate every day to willfully comply with these two gems.

Every time I ask mortgage brokers the following question, I get the same answer, 100% of the time: “If you accidentally messed up and violated a federal or state law, would you want one of the competitors in your marketplace to give you a call and say, for example, ‘Hey there, I think you missed the APR on that piece of advertising’ or would you rather have your competitor turn you in to your state’s regulator?”  Everyone would rather have their competitor place a direct, friendly call to them.  There’s this really cool guy named Kant who came up with one way (well he came up with many ways but we’ll just focus on one right now) to help us figure out how to act ethically. He said that if we want something for ourselves (a courtesy phone call) then we must also want it for the other person.  “But, but,” you ask, “what if that other person is our competitor?”

Self-regulation means that the industry understands that consumer respect is only as high as it’s LOWEST player.  Self-regulation is a sign that an industry is moving forward and growing up.  Yes, it will mean requiring more pre and post education, tougher exams, and higher duties owed to consumers, but moving into the realm of professional status also means more prestige, less government oversight, and the fees emerging mortgage professionals will charge for their services and knowledge will be higher because their knowledge and duties will be worth more. If you regularly argue for less government intrusion and you are pro-business, you understand the value in self-regulation.

There are now four national professional associations where retail mortgage salespeople can voluntarily choose to act with professional status, or at least pledge a higher level of honesty than the existing industry associations.  Members of NAMB must simply look like they’re honest. 

Retail mortgage salespeople who join the Mortgage Professor’s Upfront Mortgage Brokers Association will guarantee, in writing, a fixed price for their services up front.  Members also pledge to put their client’s interests above their own.

The National Association of Mortgage Professionals has a Code of Ethics that is better than NAMB, MBAA or NAPMW.

The Certified Mortgage Planners have a more detailed Code of Ethics.  However, all a person has to do is attend a 3 day class and pass a test and I’m not sure I agree with their premise: To help consumers plan how to use their home equity.  This organization has some work to do in its intentionality.  Interestingly, a regular raincityguide.com reader sent me an entire slew of articles that catch lead Mortgage Planner instructor Barry Habib with his pants down recommending consumers choose subprime products, take their equity out of their home and invest it, and other “advice.”  Looks like CNBC hasn’t asked him for advice for a couple of months.

The National Association of Mortgage Fiduciaries Code of Ethics is prescriptive and detailed. We are the only professional organization whose code of ethics prescribes fiduciary duties and we are open to all people in the mortgage lending industry.

Ameriquest and Household Finance, two consumer loan lenders were forced by way of court settlement to cease rewarding their retail mortgage salespeople for steering trusting consumers into high cost, high rate loans. In contrast, Mike Dodge recently penned an Inman Guest Perspective in which his company, Internet Brands, voluntarily adopted a twelve point, detailed, home borrower’s Bill of Rights.

Solution Number 4
Require ratings agencies to do proper due diligence on pools of mortgage backed securities and dis-allow ratings agencies to be paid by the investment bankers; a conflict of interest that certainly should have been caught long ago.

Solution Number 5
Ban downpayment assistance programs which artificially inflate sales prices and are nothing more than seller money laundering according to Tanta. 

Solution Number 6
Require that mortgage companies that purchase leads be held accountable for the advertising used to harvest those leads.  Deceptive mortgage spam, deceptive radio ads, deceptive lead generation websites only serve to circumvent an ethical mortgage company’s attempts to advertise in accordance with state and federal laws.

Some view the mortgage industry meltdown as a threat. I see it as an opportunity to put the industry back on track ethically, to help retail mortgage salespeople transform into emerging professionals, rope predatory lending back into where it came from: the fraud corral, and open a national dialogue on self-regulation. What do you see? What solutions would you add to this list?

Are Mortgage Loan Originators Professionals?

When I ask the question “Are loan originators professionals?” to a group of loan originator students in ethics classes, almost everyone says “yes.”  Anyone can do their job in a professional manner (adjective,) but not everyone is a Professional (noun.) Is your barista at Starbucks or the person who bags your groceries a professional? If you answer “yes,” what makes a barista different than a lawyer?  When we use the word Professional as a noun, there’s a classic definition that we refer to here:

A Professional:

  1. Has specialized knowledge in his or her field.  (Update: This body of knowledge is generally agreed-upon by those in the industry and is typically described within state and federal law.)  This person knows way more than the average random consumer about his or her area of expertise;
  2. Is required to complete a minimum amount of formal, academic education;
  3. Is tested for competency;
  4. Is licensed;
  5. Must maintain that license with mandatory continuing education;
  6. Subscribes to a mandatory code of ethics in an industry that is self-regulating. This is different from state or federal government regulatory oversight. The industry itself regulates ethical conduct over and above state and federal law;
  7. The self-regulating body enforces their code of ethics with sanctions for violations;
  8. Owes fiduciary duties to clients. This means the professional has the highest prescribed duty of loyalty to the client, to put the client’s interests above his or her own interests.

Here is how loan originators (LOs) measure up against the above list:

  1. LOs, there is a power imbalance between you and the consumer. You know way more about how the machine we call mortgage lending works than the average random consumer will ever know.
  2. In many states, including WA, no education is required to begin originating loans. (However, this may be changing at the federal level.)
  3. Testing LOs for competency finally began in 2007 for LOs in WA state
  4. Licensing of LOs is currently not required in all states and for originators employed by all types of lending institutions.
  5. Continuing education requirements are very low if they exist at all (WA state only requires LOs to take two classes per year.)
  6. There is no mandatory code of ethics for mortgage lenders. What codes exist at the national trade level, are voluntary and offer insufficient guidance.
  7. Currently there is no ethical oversight in mortgage lending by the industry. There may be individual company codes of ethics for employees. Were you asked to read and sign a company code of ethics before or during the hiring process?
  8. Fiduciary duties are now required for mortgage brokers and loan originators as of June 12, 2008.

One of the ways we can better understand the current crisis facing the mortgage industry is that loan officers, loan originators, mortgage planners, loan consultants, or whatever their job title, had absolutely no duty to put their client’s interests above their own. The relationship between a loan originator and the consumer was (and still is in many states) a retail relationship.  During the mortgage-lenders-gone-wild days, many consumers (based on countless interviews held by regulators, consumer advocacy groups and even the mainstream media) held a false belief that a loan originator is a “professional” and owes a duty to the consumer not to harm him or her.

Loan originators are classified as an “emerging profession.”  We are living through a historic, transformational phase. On the other side of the transformation, which could come sooner than some people think, I believe LOs, no matter where they work, will owe fiduciary duties to consumers, even with LOs who work at a bank.  If you look at the narrative history of any profession you would see, over time, a steady increase in the number of continuing education classes required, more mandatory pre-licensing education, an elevation of duties owed to clients, more expansive ethical codes, and tougher licensing exams.  Loan originators, no matter where they work, will eventually transform into professionals, though some will have to be dragged kicking and screaming.

Many brokers believe fiduciary duties means higher liability.  However, if done right, this may actually have the reverse effect by lowering the mortgage broker’s liability.

The Subprime Meltdown

When I entered the mortgage industry in 1985, Conventional loans were only for those who could put down 10%. Most folks opted for an FHA or VA loan. There was no risk-based pricing. Everyone received the same interest rate on their mortgage loan whether they had great credit or a few late payments. Homeowners with very poor credit, lack of job stability, zero cash reserves, and unverified source of funds to close, were not approved for a mortgage. It was a very big deal to decline a loan. As a mortgage loan underwriter, I was told our job was to make loans, not decline loans. We had to try our very best to help our company figure out a way to help the homebuyer. Declining a loan was serious. We had to state rational, good reasons why a homebuyer did not qualify. That all changed with the introduction of risk-based pricing into the mortgage lending market.

20% down
10% down
5% down use to be considered very risky.
3% down buyers were directed to FHA loans
0 down use to only be available to Veterans
Then came 0 down with seller-paid closing costs
Finally we had 0 down, seller-paid closing costs combined with a variety of exotic mortgage products that were previously only offered to the most credit worthy and financially savvy borowers.

Hard money lending was re-named subprime lending and moved into the mainstream as the mortgage brokerage industry grew to originate over 50% of all mortgage loans in the U.S. Subprime started out years ago with high interest rates along with a large downpayment. As Greenspan lowered interest rates, competition heated up and we saw a relax of credit standards in the same direction. This pushed a huge amount of homebuyers into the market, and infused the industry with a tremendous amount of job growth in the lending, banking, title, escrow, appraisal, and real estate agent arena. Corporations must earn a profit (within the bounds of the law) so corporations continued to push for profit growth.  It doesn’t matter which political party holds power: Democrats or Republicans. BOTH parties push homeownership onto the American public as the dream every person in America ought to be able to achieve. Downpayment assistance homeownership programs sprung up all over the country and on a side note, it’s interesting to see FHA blasting these programs as having high default rates; high enough to possibly bring down FHA. 

With little regulatory oversight in existence for mortgage brokers and consumer loan companies, (although they argue that they are HEAVILY regulated) the mortgage brokers, consumer loan companies, and the wholesale lenders had a field day with profits during the bubble run-up years of 2002 through 2006. All the real estate agents I talk to, and I meet thousands of real estate agents every year, with regards to predatory lending considered this a problem of the mortgage lending industry, acknowledging that there “could” be effects on the real estate market, but without actually feeling any of those effects it was always someone else’s problem. It has been pointed out that real estate agents also made lots of money with the relaxation of credit standards and the resulting housing boom.

Our state regulators DO have money set aside to go after the most egregious cases of predatory lending and mortgage fraud. However, government was never intended to police every single deal written by mortgage brokers and consumer finance companies. There is just not enough government re$ources available to do this, and there never will be. 

In March of 2007, I predicted that every one of us in the industry WILL feel the effects of the subprime meltdown. Now that the subprime defaults have spilled over into Alt-A, prime ARMs, and HELOCs, we have a major national financial crisis that has resulted in an official housing recession. A full blown economic recession is underway with the FDIC preparing for bank failures and the FBI shifting its focus toward mortgage fraud. The mortgage industry will continue to see defaults rise into 2009 as more pay-option ARMs reset.  Underwriting guidelines will continue to tighten until the loans we are originating today can be proven to have lower default rates than the current vintage of Residential Mortgage Backed Securities. 

Some mortgage lenders have seen an increase in loan applications from homeowners seeking to refinance into fixed rate mortgage loans, but not all of these borrowers qualify under today’s tightening underwriting guidelines.  Mortgage companies that blatantly ripped off consumers will not see repeat business. Those customers will go elsewhere, as they should. Mortgage brokers who have ONLY done subprime will find it challenging to become approved as an FHA lender as FHA has many rules to follow including the requirement for loan originators to be W-2 employees (many brokers pay their originators as contract workers.) Consumers are sick and tired of bait and switch advertising and hopefully won’t fall for it this time around. Those companies will go down, their loan originators finding jobs scarce since their only training has been hard-core, script-memorizing, pressure-laden sales tactics. They specifically chose to be in subprime for the money and only the money. Former mortgage lending workers are reporting that they’re having trouble finding jobs in other industries and are being blackballed by recruiters.  The recruiters say employers want all candidates screened out if they were previously in the mortgage industry. 

Treating home buyers (and refinancing homeowners) only as a tool to maximize profits is one business model that is no longer growing profits at previous rates. These companies are refi machines built on marginally to blatantly deceptive direct mail, email spam, deceptive radio ads, or by purchasing leads generated off of deceptive advertising and they exist in every market in the United States. This market is now seeing a decline in profitability and in a capitalist system, profit drives morality: what’s profitable is good, what’s not profitable is bad.

Brokers, lenders, and banks that have always operated their business with a foundation of treating consumers with respect will survive and thrive. By respect, that means declining some loans because sometimes this is the most respectful thing to do.

It is way past time for a mortgage market correction and I am hopeful that the current crisis of epic proportions will lead us to a better place in the mortgage lending industry.

We should expect to see at least four more federal laws directly targeting the mortgage lending industry, similar to the wave of consumer protection legislation that swept the U.S. in the 1970s.  There have now been many laws introduced, some have passed the house but not the senate, some have passed committees, and who knows if anything at all will happen during these last few months before and after the next presidential election.  Therefore we should also expect to see many, many states jump up to enact legislation aimed at the mortgage industry. 

Watch for underwriting guidelines to continue to tighten, back to what they were like in 1985. Watch for interest rates to up, up UP! Because banks have to try and offset their foreclosure losses by…what else? Making new loans.  The industry underpriced risk for subprime borrowers, offered loan products to borrowers who did not fully understand how the product worked, and rewarded loan originators for selling the most risky products to the most credit-unworthy borrowers.  Instead of blaming everyone but themselves, the industry would do better to look within, systemically, for the solution.